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Bed Bath & Beyond
NASDAQ
USA
Home Furnishing Stores

Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) operates one of the largest U.S. chains of superstores selling domestics merchandise and home furnishings. It claims to offer a broader selection of better quality, reasonably priced merchandise than do department stores. BBBY stores are generally very large ranging in size from 20,000 sq. ft. to 50,000 sq. ft., with some exceeding 80,000 sq. ft. In contrast, most large department stores typically devote about 20,000 sq. ft. to home furnishings.

The company has grown rapidly, from 38 stores in 1993 to 575 stores in 44 states and Puerto Rico at the start of 2004. It opened 85 stores in the financial year ending February 2004 (FY 04), after opening 95 stores in FY 03; it expects to open 85 to 90 new stores in FY 05. During FY 04, total square footage of BBBY stores grew 12%, to 19.4 million sq. ft., from 17.3 million sq. ft.

BBBY sells domestics products such as bed linens, sheets, comforters, bedspreads, draperies, pillows and blankets. Bath accessories include towels, shower curtains, waste baskets, hampers and rugs. Kitchen textiles include tablecloths, placemats, napkins and dish towels. BBBY stores also sell home furnishings: kitchen and tabletop items, such as cookware, cutlery, flatware and glassware; basic housewares, including storage items and closet items; small electric appliances such as blenders, coffee makers, vacuum cleaners, toaster ovens and hair dryers; and miscellaneous gift items, including picture frames, luggage, small toys and seasonal merchandise.

In March 2002, the company acquired Harmon Stores, Inc., a health and beauty care retailer; terms were not disclosed. In June 2003, BBBY acquired Christmas Tree Shops, a retailer of home decor, giftware, housewares, food and seasonal items, for $200 million in cash. The company operated 24 Christmas Tree Shops in six states at FY 04 year end.

The company aims to sell its merchandise at prices 20% to 40% below those charged by department stores. Despite this pricing strategy, BBBY still posts healthy margins by shipping products directly to its stores. This eliminates the need for warehouses and distribution centers. Inventory is displayed on the store floors. In addition, advertising costs are kept to a minimum, as the company relies more on word of mouth than on advertising.

Despite its rapid growth, BBBY holds a very small portion of the domestics and home furnishings market, leaving significant opportunities for future growth. The company funds its new stores through operating cash flow, and has no long term debt. Each new store has posted an operating profit within the first 12 months of operation.

Socio-economic trends are contributing to the company's success. A robust housing market and relatively strong consumer spending indicate that consumers are moving into new homes, and have the money to furnish them with items from stores like Bed Bath & Beyond. In a fast-paced society, the company's stores offer a one-stop shop, offering convenience and reasonable prices to busy families wanting to conserve the amount of time they have away from work or ferrying children.

For the third November 2004 earnings grew by 21 percent. It also reported net income of $121.9 million, or 40 cents a share, compared with last year's profit of $100.5 million, or 33 cents a share.

Sales grew 11 percent to $1.31 billion from $1.75 billion a year earlier. Same-stores sales -- a key industry measure of sales at stores open longer than a year -- climbed 3.1 percent.

The company ended the quarter with $1.3 billion in cash, cash equivalents and investment securities. The company also has approved the purchase of $350 million worth of outstanding shares and noted that it has been debt-free for more than eight years.

"Our strong operations should allow us to continue to invest in our infrastructure and maintain our flexibility to take advantage of opportunities as they may arise," Chief Executive Steven Temares said in the earnings release.

In the quarter, the company operated 640 Bed Bath & Beyond stores as well as 26 Christmas Tree Shops and 32 Harmon Stores.

Growth in any chain of stores comes from one of two sources: the addition of new stores and the increase in sales from existing stores.When a chain is still at the stage that each year it can add a high percentage of new stores, then its growth is likely to be very high. This is the stage for BBBY and is likely to continue for some years.

Eventually, however, this type of growth has to level off. Consider, for example, McDonalds and Wal-Mart. When this begins to happen, then any increase in earnings depends mainly on growth of sam-store sales. BBBY is far from this at the moment, but it is something to keep at the back of your mind.

Of course, long before this becomes an issue, management may well have come up with other ideas for expanding this very successful business.

In any case, currently BBBY is running at a same-store growth rate of around 3 percent, which is something that needs to be watched. Here is an excerpt from the company's most recent SEC form 10-K filing:

" The Company believes that it is the largest operator of stores selling predominantly better quality domestics merchandise and home furnishings typically found in better department stores, and that it is well positioned to compete successfully in its markets as measured by several factors, including pricing, breadth and quality of product selection, in-stock availability of merchandise, effective merchandise presentation, customer service and store locations. "

Website: www.bedbathandbeyond.com Report date: January 2005

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Company

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Conscious Investor Quick Analysis
Management ROE, ROC 20.8%: slight down trend
Growth Consistent 5-yr growth: Sales 24.8%, Earnings 30.23%
Debt No debt
Liquidity Consistent
Payout Ratio No dividends
PE Ratio Fairly high (approx 30)
Business
Economic Moat Strong brand name, wide range of quality products, low prices but still v. profitable
Adjust for inflation Sales to general public
Not capital intensive Does not need specialized machinery, etc
Scenario Analysis

January 2005

Current Margin of Safety
Price PE Ratio HGROWTH 5-yr PE Ratio Growth
$39.80 26.01 30.52% 23.0 15%
Calculations Assuming Margin of Safety
STRETD TARGD 10% TARGD 15%
12.2% $43.95 $35.19

Remark: Bed Bath and Beyond continues to grow at a very fast rate both in terms of new stores and earnings. For example, EPS for the third quarter ending 11/04 was up 21 percent from a year ago. The growth in the above calculations is set at 15 percent over the next 5 years. It may well be considerably higher than that. I put it at 15 percent to take into account that other stores will be increasing their attempts to make inroads into the success Bed Bath and Beyond either by undercutting their prices or by mimicking their stores and product lines.

The price has stayed flat for almost two years. If earnings continue to grow as they have, then there may be a significant jump in price over the next 12 months.